"The fraction of all people with our kind of experiences that are living in a simulation is very close to one.".
"The fraction of posthuman civilizations that are interested in running simulations of their evolutionary history, or variations thereof, is very close to zero", or.
"The fraction of human-level civilizations that reach a posthuman stage (that is, one capable of running high-fidelity ancestor simulations) is very close to zero", or.
Despite the name, Bostrom's "simulation argument" does not directly argue that humans live in a simulation instead, Bostrom's trilemma argues that one of three unlikely-seeming propositions is almost certainly true: In 2003, philosopher Nick Bostrom proposed a trilemma that he called "the simulation argument". Nick Bostrom, Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?, 2003 The simulation argument Therefore, if we don't think that we are currently living in a computer simulation, we are not entitled to believe that we will have descendants who will run lots of such simulations of their forebears. It is then possible to argue that, if this were the case, we would be rational to think that we are likely among the simulated minds rather than among the original biological ones. Then it could be the case that the vast majority of minds like ours do not belong to the original race but rather to people simulated by the advanced descendants of an original race. Suppose that these simulated people are conscious (as they would be if the simulations were sufficiently fine-grained and if a certain quite widely accepted position in the philosophy of mind is correct). Because their computers would be so powerful, they could run a great many such simulations. One thing that later generations might do with their super-powerful computers is run detailed simulations of their forebears or of people like their forebears. Let us suppose for a moment that these predictions are correct. Many works of science fiction as well as some forecasts by serious technologists and futurologists predict that enormous amounts of computing power will be available in the future. Īztec philosophical texts theorised that the world was a painting or book written by the Teotl. This skeptical hypothesis can be traced back to antiquity for example, to the " Butterfly Dream" of Zhuangzi, or the Indian philosophy of Maya, or in Ancient Greek philosophy Anaxarchus and Monimus likened existing things to a scene-painting and supposed them to resemble the impressions experienced in sleep or madness. There is a long philosophical and scientific history to the underlying thesis that reality is an illusion.
2.3 Arguments, within the trilemma, against the simulation hypothesis.
2.2 Criticism of Bostrom's anthropic reasoning.
Late night pub discussion is not a viable theory." A bigger proposal that builds on this idea is that Earth could be the end of a long stack of simulations. Ellis, who stated that " is totally impracticable from a technical viewpoint" and that "protagonists seem to have confused science fiction with science. The hypothesis popularized by Bostrom is very disputed, with, for example, theoretical physicist Sabine Hossenfelder, who called it pseudoscience and cosmologist George F. Versions of the hypothesis have also been featured in science fiction, appearing as a central plot device in many stories and films. The suggestion that such a hypothesis is compatible with all human perceptual experiences is thought to have significant epistemological consequences in the form of philosophical skepticism. The hypothesis was popularized in its current form by Nick Bostrom. The simulation hypothesis bears a close resemblance to various other skeptical scenarios from throughout the history of philosophy. Some versions rely on the development of a simulated reality, a proposed technology that would be able to convince its inhabitants that the simulation was "real". The simulation hypothesis is a proposal regarding the nature of existence which posits that all of existence is an artificial simulation, such as a computer simulation. It has been suggested that Digital physics be merged into this article.
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